0x41a2f33f26cD8289b10Ff967B20493b9D07F5ccF-1771640789975
0x41a2f33f26cd8289b10ff967b20493b9d07f5ccf
- Realised P&L
- $-449.83
- Volume
- $33.5k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $617.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$984.86at 0.448Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$791.67at 0.240US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
- +$448.30at 0.479Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$403.47at 0.357Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?
- +$124.43at 0.619Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 14:57 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0869999952 | $15.97 |
| 08-28 14:53 | Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? | BUY | 0.1399999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-13 01:01 | Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election? | BUY | 0.0579999973 | $20.00 |
| 07-13 01:01 | Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.994 | $85.67 |
| 07-01 13:15 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.123999998 | $53.58 |
| 07-01 13:15 | Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election? | SELL | 0.9848431671 | $51.74 |
| 06-21 19:36 | Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 06-20 17:01 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 21:02 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:57 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0239999977 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:54 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:51 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999983 | $10.00 |
| 06-18 16:50 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.242 | $45.39 |
| 06-18 16:45 | Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999992 | $20.00 |
| 06-17 18:28 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999983 | $30.00 |