PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x41a2f33f26cD8289b10Ff967B20493b9D07F5ccF-1771640789975

0x41a2f33f26cd8289b10ff967b20493b9d07f5ccf

Realised P&L
$-449.83
Volume
$33.5k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$617.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)43.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.4900.715$291.84+$91.84
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2130.219$154.04+$4.03
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2540.155$87.22−$55.49
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? · Yes0.1400.051$36.79−$63.21
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0870.122$22.49+$6.52
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.045$15.00−$25.00
Bank of England rate hike in 2026? · No0.1870.019$10.04−$88.96
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No0.3380.000$0.00−$1.3k
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$100.00
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? · Yes0.2000.000$0.00−$10.00
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$10.00
Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 14:57Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0869999952$15.97
08-28 14:53Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?BUY0.1399999989$100.00
07-13 01:01Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0579999973$20.00
07-13 01:01Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?SELL0.994$85.67
07-01 13:15Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?BUY0.123999998$53.58
07-01 13:15Will Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?SELL0.9848431671$51.74
06-21 19:36Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.1199999899$10.00
06-20 17:01Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?BUY0.2$10.00
06-19 21:02Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?BUY0.6$10.00
06-18 16:57Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0239999977$10.00
06-18 16:54Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999983$10.00
06-18 16:51Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999983$10.00
06-18 16:50Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.242$45.39
06-18 16:45Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0169999992$20.00
06-17 18:28Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0569999983$30.00