PolyBot

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Traders

mdmuzahid

0x41a14e6ca688aa8322fe84e27e695d4005339910

Realised P&L
$-10.40
Volume
$487.36
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$15.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)87.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.6830.715$12.83+$0.57
Will the match end in a draw? · Yes0.0920.192$2.30+$1.19
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET · Up0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Sri Lanka Tour of England ODIs: England vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.1410.000$0.00−$7.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Up0.0300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Syria win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$1.21
Asian Games Men: Pakistan vs India · Pakistan0.2100.000$0.00−$1.47
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies · West Indies0.2000.000$0.00−$4.80
Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06? · Yes0.4230.000$0.00−$2.12
Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET · Down0.0500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET · Down0.3200.000$0.00−$1.00
Asian Games Men: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka · Bangladesh0.2610.000$0.00−$7.29
Asian Games Men: India vs Sri Lanka · Sri Lanka0.1400.000$0.00−$2.52
Will Albania win on 2026-10-03? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 07:44Will the match end in a draw?BUY0.092$1.10
10-09 17:17West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesSELL0.999$5.09
10-09 17:00West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesSELL0.621$6.15
10-09 16:00Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri LankaSELL0.022$0.13
10-09 14:16Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri LankaSELL0.35$6.04
10-09 14:01West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesBUY0.15$2.25
10-09 13:55Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri LankaBUY0.2$2.20
10-06 15:37Will Kazakhstan win on 2026-10-06?BUY0.423$2.11
10-06 15:23Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?SELL0.05$0.25
10-06 14:46Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?BUY0.27$1.35
10-06 13:34West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesBUY0.2$2.40
10-06 13:34West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West IndiesBUY0.2$2.40
10-04 14:06Will Azerbaijan vs. Lithuania end in a draw?BUY0.26$1.30
10-03 17:32West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West IndiesSELL0.999$2.53
10-03 17:26West Indies Tour of India ODIs: India vs West IndiesSELL0.92$7.79