bihuju
0x4199a2fce252248448c7033da04c6ea04bc629f0
- Realised P&L
- $0.68
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $22.57
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.987 | $20.56 | +$0.56 |
| Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.950 | $2.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.49at 0.870Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
- +$0.76at 0.700Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election?
- +$0.64at 0.610Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$0.61at 0.830Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election?
- +$0.47at 0.680Trump negative approval before May?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-17 07:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 10-25 05:36 | Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | SELL | 0.996 | $527.88 |
| 10-24 08:22 | Will Captain America: Brave New World be the top grossing movie of 2025? | BUY | 0.997 | $533.30 |
| 10-24 08:21 | Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass? | BUY | 0.8699999678 | $10.00 |
| 10-24 08:19 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-24 08:18 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $0.96 |
| 10-14 03:43 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 03:42 | Will the Republicans win the Arkansas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.9459999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-14 03:41 | Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election? | SELL | 0.965 | $2.75 |
| 06-30 07:40 | Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 07:40 | Will Alassane Ouattara win the 2025 Ivory Coast presidential election? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 06-30 07:39 | Will Peter Mutharika win the 2025 Malawi presidential election? | BUY | 0.8299999557 | $3.00 |
| 06-30 07:39 | Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 07:34 | Bitcoin all time high by June 30? | BUY | 0.6579994802 | $1.00 |
| 03-18 07:34 | North Carolina Bitcoin Reserve Act signed before July? | BUY | 0.9299999907 | $1.00 |