PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x417E6054870BcFfe992f782aa0ADEFA541FA7302-1767628963050

0x417e6054870bcffe992f782aa0adefa541fa7302

Realised P&L
$-94.01
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
39
Open portfolio
$40.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded39
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Record crypto liquidation in 2026? · Yes0.1770.082$17.22$19.88
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9070.972$9.71+$0.65
US recession by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.095$7.60$12.40
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0740.019$2.64$7.36
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · Yes0.1900.065$1.95$3.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4800.065$1.35$8.65
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$9.91
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$6.00
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.1900.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 20:09Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?BUY0.1199999898$9.91
05-03 20:07Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?BUY0.0699999897$6.00
04-11 16:45US recession by end of 2026?BUY0.25$20.00
04-01 17:11Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4799999827$10.00
04-01 17:10Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0739999932$10.00
04-01 13:54Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
03-23 10:51Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?BUY0.63$6.30
03-19 14:59Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.82$6.56
03-19 14:39US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?BUY0.67$13.40
03-19 14:38Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.99$9.90
03-19 14:38Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.988$9.99
03-17 19:08Trump declassifies new UFO files by March 31?BUY0.92$8.82
03-17 19:07Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.0820438088$8.20
03-17 18:48Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.984$9.84
03-17 18:08Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.968$24.20