CassianAndor
0x4169e0062832c3394b89103f13548803af95fc04
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $96.4k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $497.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample42 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.200Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.048Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?
- +$102.95at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.65at 0.091Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$34.09at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 10:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.05 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 10:25 | Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999991 | $60.00 |
| 11-01 09:25 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.2899999996 | $30.00 |
| 10-31 13:14 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0276963812 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 16:57 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0384236446 | $2.00 |
| 10-30 16:55 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0231393379 | $10.00 |
| 10-28 22:53 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0338783991 | $36.00 |
| 10-28 22:52 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.033 | $6.00 |
| 10-28 22:52 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0329999992 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:17 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0430262864 | $45.00 |
| 10-23 16:27 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999995 | $50.00 |
| 10-23 16:21 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.103297054 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 16:21 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 19:47 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $10.00 |
| 10-21 19:37 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0727272727 | $10.00 |