PolyBot

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Traders

CassianAndor

0x4169e0062832c3394b89103f13548803af95fc04

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$96.4k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$497.81

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration64.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample42 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2050.175$241.10−$40.89
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.0500.045$90.00−$10.00
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.2400.360$75.00+$25.00
Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026? · Yes0.2700.280$62.22+$2.22
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.2900.285$29.48−$0.52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$100.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$16.00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.0620.000$0.00−$374.97
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$45.00
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5 · Over0.0900.000$0.00−$40.00
Iran leadership change by September 30? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$30.00
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$50.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$15.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 10:59Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.05$100.00
11-01 10:25Iran full airspace closure by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2699999991$60.00
11-01 09:25Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.2899999996$30.00
10-31 13:14Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0276963812$10.00
10-30 16:57Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0384236446$2.00
10-30 16:55Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0231393379$10.00
10-28 22:53Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0338783991$36.00
10-28 22:52Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.033$6.00
10-28 22:52Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0329999992$1.00
10-28 12:17Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0430262864$45.00
10-23 16:27Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.1699999995$50.00
10-23 16:21Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.103297054$10.00
10-23 16:21Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1$10.00
10-21 19:47Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
10-21 19:37Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.0727272727$10.00