PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x41687593f474C048cb58563a7c411930DD924240-1780786258125

0x41687593f474c048cb58563a7c411930dd924240

Realised P&L
$-22.95
Volume
$4.3k
Markets traded
666
Open portfolio
$60.47

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded666
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 01:012026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.7099998967$1.10
11-01 20:39Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.25$1.02
11-01 18:51Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.7099998967$1.10
11-01 18:50Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$0.78
11-01 07:49Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4899999911$1.10
10-31 22:44LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerSELL0.999$3.14
10-31 22:06LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBUY0.3499999045$1.10
10-31 21:32LoL: LOS vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.5199999055$1.10
10-31 18:28Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2699999386$1.10
10-31 18:27Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.75$1.14
10-31 13:18Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.71$1.08
10-31 08:36Will Kanye West appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.8599999607$1.75
10-31 03:17Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping by November 30?BUY0.9$1.75
10-31 02:10Will Justin Bieber appear at the 2027 Big Game halftime show?BUY0.9099999636$1.75
10-30 22:31Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?BUY0.769999909$1.10