PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

WPFUND

0x41245106ee7ae22daa91f9f2c1ca3e7062ce7b40

Realised P&L
$-336.83
Volume
$22.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$93.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.0760.028$65.98−$116.96
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31? · Yes0.0130.011$14.54−$3.38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? · Yes0.2100.105$10.84−$10.85
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.036$1.80−$3.20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$166.59
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$18.04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$53.76
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.4100.000$0.00−$110.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00−$18.16
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0360.000$0.00−$36.28
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.1660.000$0.00−$10.00
Netanyahu out by March 31? · Yes0.0330.000$0.00−$86.00
Netanyahu out by April 30? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$27.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 20:13Will the US confirm that aliens exist by October 31?BUY0.0129402093$17.92
07-22 20:43Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0319034374$93.48
07-19 09:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.06$66.00
07-19 09:30Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4099999992$110.00
07-19 09:28Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.59$285.25
07-06 20:56Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669998874$1.00
07-06 20:56Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.003$0.46
07-06 20:55Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1669999431$2.00
07-06 20:55Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?SELL0.01$2.64
07-06 20:51Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1049999956$20.00
07-05 23:25Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1269999969$34.93
06-25 01:26Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.078999994$12.00
06-24 14:49Will Portugal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.169999995$25.00
06-17 23:33Cuban regime falls in 2026?BUY0.1799999718$4.60
06-16 22:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.1$5.00