Verified.Counts
0x410c6321bda428be6c778117b6103bf22cf4f7f0
- Realised P&L
- $326.87
- Volume
- $128.0k
- Markets traded
- 821
- Open portfolio
- $406.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded821
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$100.20at 0.515Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?
- +$98.70at 0.670Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?
- +$94.45at 0.996Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in November?
- +$66.99at 0.953Bitcoin all time high day after election?
- +$58.24at 0.696Will the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 14:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 12:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $1.74 |
| 09-21 12:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999905 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 12:20 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.549999945 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 19:45 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.00 in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-16 19:00 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.98435957 | $10.00 |
| 09-16 18:59 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.9705430285 | $100.00 |
| 09-16 18:54 | Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.94 | $4.69 |
| 09-16 18:50 | Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.96 | $4.86 |
| 09-16 17:53 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.85 | $2.55 |
| 09-16 17:49 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.35 |
| 09-14 12:19 | Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 100.50 in September? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 12:18 | US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $2.00 |
| 09-10 13:50 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |