PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Verified.Counts

0x410c6321bda428be6c778117b6103bf22cf4f7f0

Realised P&L
$326.87
Volume
$128.0k
Markets traded
821
Open portfolio
$406.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded821
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.793$158.70+$58.70
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.4940.206$41.51$57.72
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6380.855$39.52+$10.02
Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7320.888$35.48+$6.23
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.7920.956$23.91+$4.10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7090.810$22.67+$2.82
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5940.765$18.42+$4.12
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.805$10.06+$0.06
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5700.575$9.78+$0.09
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4900.775$7.91+$2.91
USDC depeg by December 31? · Yes0.0310.015$6.75$7.86
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5500.630$5.73+$0.73
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3200.600$5.63+$2.63
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6400.885$5.53+$1.53
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9600.980$4.90+$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 14:38Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$5.00
09-21 12:23Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.58$1.74
09-21 12:22Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899999905$10.00
09-21 12:21Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8$10.00
09-21 12:20Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.549999945$5.00
09-17 19:45Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 101.00 in September?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-16 19:00Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.98435957$10.00
09-16 18:59Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.9705430285$100.00
09-16 18:54Will Warsh say "Task Force" 10+ times during September Press Conference?BUY0.94$4.69
09-16 18:50Will Warsh say "Trump" during September Press Conference?BUY0.96$4.86
09-16 17:53Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.85$2.55
09-16 17:49Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.13$0.35
09-14 12:19Will US Dollar Index (DXY) hit (HIGH) 100.50 in September?BUY0.5099998215$1.00
09-14 12:18US Dollar Index (DXY) Up or Down on September 14?BUY0.5299999868$2.00
09-10 13:50Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3699999593$1.00