MartySuperfecta
0x41073573872bb705e84da304fd7db8c46022c4c5
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $173.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,926
- Open portfolio
- $181.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,926
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$359.42at 0.130Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 1?
- +$110.51at 0.520Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
- +$76.00at 0.050Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on March 9?
- +$74.43at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 2?
- +$70.33at 0.570Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 74°F or higher on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 23:32 | Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8 | BUY | 0.67 | $100.50 |
| 04-10 00:16 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 04-09 11:37 | Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational? | BUY | 0.6575340808 | $19.59 |
| 04-09 11:37 | Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.013 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 11:36 | Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.011 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 11:36 | Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.0146099153 | $20.00 |
| 04-09 11:35 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.1399999922 | $15.00 |
| 04-03 21:14 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.369 | $50.00 |
| 04-03 21:12 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.8 | $40.00 |
| 03-29 21:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.99 | $20.20 |
| 03-29 21:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.9959085667 | $24.18 |
| 03-29 21:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |
| 03-29 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.04 |
| 03-29 21:27 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 6°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.9954188627 | $43.06 |
| 03-29 21:26 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 7°C on March 29? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.03 |