PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

MartySuperfecta

0x41073573872bb705e84da304fd7db8c46022c4c5

Realised P&L
$-1.8k
Volume
$173.7k
Markets traded
1,926
Open portfolio
$11.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,926
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will FREPASNA win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0150.033$2.20+$1.20
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0320.041$1.26+$0.27
Will Baciro Djá win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0140.015$1.11+$0.11
Will João de Deus Mendes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0100.009$0.85−$0.15
Will PS win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.0410.034$0.82−$0.18
Will Siga Batista win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0270.015$0.56−$0.44
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0980.054$0.55−$0.45
Will Platforma Reupblicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.3590.194$0.54−$0.46
Will Mário da Silva Júnior win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0420.022$0.54−$0.46
Will Honório Augusto Lopes win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0500.024$0.47−$0.53
Will João Bernardo Vieira win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0520.023$0.44−$0.56
Will José Mário Vaz win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0480.021$0.43−$0.57
Will Herculano Armando Bequinsa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.0220.009$0.42−$0.58
Will FLING win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election? · Yes0.1130.045$0.40−$0.60
Will Fernando Dias da Costa win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? · Yes0.2280.084$0.37−$0.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-07 15:44Will PT win the most seats in the 2025 Guinea-Bissau National People’s Assembly election?SELL0.02$0.27
10-07 15:44Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?SELL0.74$3.70
10-07 15:44Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?SELL0.998$9.98
10-07 15:43Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.848$8.48
10-07 15:43Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?SELL0.61$6.10
10-07 15:42Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?SELL0.957$129.67
07-03 23:32Nathan’s Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest: Total HDBs O/U 704.8BUY0.67$100.50
04-10 00:16Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.19$3.80
04-09 11:37Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 Augusta National Invitational?BUY0.6575340808$19.59
04-09 11:37Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.013$5.00
04-09 11:36Will Jacob Bridgeman win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.011$10.00
04-09 11:36Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.0146099153$20.00
04-09 11:35Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.1399999922$15.00
04-03 21:14Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.369$50.00
04-03 21:12US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.8$40.00