PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

CryptoFarm

0x40f04597cc03c1a271072df2872f9a8ff71da193

Realised P&L
$-3.3k
Volume
$548.9k
Markets traded
451
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded451
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration76.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · No0.5000.817$3.5k+$1.4k
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.183$796.71−$1.4k
Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch? · Yes0.0600.320$95.68+$77.74
Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.6750.670$86.30−$0.69
Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season? · Yes0.8500.830$41.50−$1.00
Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch? · No0.2460.285$36.70+$5.02
Will the San Francisco 49ers win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season? · U 10.50.1100.155$7.75+$2.25
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.6980.059$1.27−$13.73
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$84.00
Ethos FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes0.7160.000$0.00−$597.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 03:43Felix Protocol FDV above $5M one day after launch?BUY0.06$17.94
10-31 17:31Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.68$26.38
10-31 17:31Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.26$10.09
10-31 17:29Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.68$20.40
10-31 17:29Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.24$7.20
10-31 17:28Will Tuyo launch a token by December 31, 2027?BUY0.67$40.20
10-31 17:27Tuyo FDV above $20M one day after launch?BUY0.24$14.40
10-31 15:37Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.71$3.55
10-31 15:37Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.72$3.60
10-31 15:33Will the San Francisco 49ers have more than 10.5 wins during the 2026 NFL season?BUY0.85$42.50
10-31 15:32Will the San Francisco 49ers win more than 10.5 games in the 2026 NFL Regular Season?BUY0.11$5.50
10-27 12:38Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.75$5.0k
10-25 20:34Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?SELL0.1002075$76.16
10-09 18:36Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch?SELL0.3456682872$248.14
10-09 11:48Ethos FDV above $35M one day after launch?SELL0.6542489412$111.22