PolyBot

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Traders

hrmy

0x40da04ed8573a59075706462b0184b6ff1942fe1

Realised P&L
$790.47
Volume
$125.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$760.52

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1140.155$354.15+$94.57
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.6070.281$229.45−$267.31
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1630.175$73.31+$4.86
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.2380.230$55.03−$2.00
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.200$12.45+$1.25
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.2270.225$11.45−$0.08
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? · Yes0.1840.013$7.33−$100.90
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0460.006$6.50−$39.48
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · Yes0.3600.125$6.25−$11.75
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? · Yes0.1600.017$4.14−$34.86
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? · Yes0.2650.035$0.45−$3.02
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$19.14
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00−$83.86
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00−$41.46
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 18:45Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?BUY0.36$18.00
06-15 13:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$10.50
06-15 13:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$21.00
06-15 13:17Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0459846327$44.89
06-15 13:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$5.33
06-15 13:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0278996981$30.32
06-15 13:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$20.00
05-29 16:47Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?BUY0.1788919108$23.02
05-29 16:46Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?BUY0.79$19.75
05-29 16:46Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?BUY0.78$46.80
05-20 17:58Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?BUY0.65$13.00
05-20 17:57Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?BUY0.1646904315$1.76
05-20 17:57Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?BUY0.628361204$375.76
05-20 13:38Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1554550083$24.43
05-20 13:38Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2119592476$10.82