hrmy
0x40da04ed8573a59075706462b0184b6ff1942fe1
- Realised P&L
- $490.99
- Volume
- $125.8k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $809.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.3kat 0.177Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy
- +$1.5kat 0.270Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$776.95at 0.570Will Hyperliquid reach $50 by December 31, 2026?
- +$635.81at 0.530Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?
- +$448.59at 0.473Will Hyperliquid reach $58 by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 18:45 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? | BUY | 0.36 | $18.00 |
| 06-15 13:20 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.021 | $10.50 |
| 06-15 13:19 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.021 | $21.00 |
| 06-15 13:17 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.0459846327 | $44.89 |
| 06-15 13:15 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.02 | $5.33 |
| 06-15 13:14 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0278996981 | $30.32 |
| 06-15 13:13 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.004 | $20.00 |
| 05-29 16:47 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | BUY | 0.1788919108 | $23.02 |
| 05-29 16:46 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? | BUY | 0.79 | $19.75 |
| 05-29 16:46 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $46.80 |
| 05-20 17:58 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 05-20 17:57 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? | BUY | 0.1646904315 | $1.76 |
| 05-20 17:57 | Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? | BUY | 0.628361204 | $375.76 |
| 05-20 13:38 | Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1554550083 | $24.43 |
| 05-20 13:38 | Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2119592476 | $10.82 |