PolyBot

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Traders

hrmy

0x40da04ed8573a59075706462b0184b6ff1942fe1

Realised P&L
$490.99
Volume
$125.8k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$809.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample32 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? · Yes0.6070.561$458.90$37.86
Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.1140.085$194.21$65.37
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026? · Yes0.1840.080$46.92$61.31
Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.1630.095$39.80$28.66
Unit FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.2380.095$22.73$34.30
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026? · Yes0.3600.395$19.75+$1.75
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $10B in 2026? · Yes0.1600.050$12.19$26.81
Unit FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1800.085$5.29$5.92
Unit FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.2270.100$5.09$6.45
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0460.004$4.00$41.98
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $8B in 2026? · Yes0.2650.085$1.11$2.36
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in April? · Yes0.2710.000$0.00$153.70
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0280.000$0.00$83.86
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in March? · Yes0.0970.000$0.00$41.46
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 18:45Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $6B in 2026?BUY0.36$18.00
06-15 13:20Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$10.50
06-15 13:19Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.021$21.00
06-15 13:17Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.0459846327$44.89
06-15 13:15Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.02$5.33
06-15 13:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.0278996981$30.32
06-15 13:13Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.004$20.00
05-29 16:47Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?BUY0.1788919108$23.02
05-29 16:46Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?BUY0.79$19.75
05-29 16:46Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026?BUY0.78$46.80
05-20 17:58Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?BUY0.65$13.00
05-20 17:57Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $9B in 2026?BUY0.1646904315$1.76
05-20 17:57Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?BUY0.628361204$375.76
05-20 13:38Unit FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.1554550083$24.43
05-20 13:38Unit FDV above $2B one day after launch?BUY0.2119592476$10.82