0x40b5E3e16a3Fa23942F563B570aa74287466596D-1745875788773
0x40b5e3e16a3fa23942f563b570aa74287466596d
- Realised P&L
- $173.32
- Volume
- $75.6k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $365.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$469.74at 0.416Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
- +$332.09at 0.249Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?
- +$217.50at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
- +$168.42at 0.158Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$121.20at 0.500Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 21:36 | Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.64 | $75.28 |
| 09-04 06:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $10.20 |
| 09-04 06:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.5291724595 | $127.89 |
| 09-04 06:30 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 09-04 06:28 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.52 | $156.00 |
| 09-04 06:28 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.79 |
| 09-04 06:28 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $9.60 |
| 09-04 06:26 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.8079998 | $40.40 |
| 09-04 06:25 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.807 | $6.34 |
| 09-04 06:24 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.67 | $36.85 |
| 09-03 00:02 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | SELL | 0.9902647658 | $48.62 |
| 09-02 09:31 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.53 | $53.00 |
| 09-02 09:29 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.31 | $62.00 |
| 09-02 07:44 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $25.05 |
| 09-02 07:43 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.891 | $43.75 |