0x40b5E3e16a3Fa23942F563B570aa74287466596D-1745875788773
0x40b5e3e16a3fa23942f563b570aa74287466596d
- Realised P&L
- $22.62
- Volume
- $73.3k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $829.01
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$332.09at 0.249Will Coinbase say "Blockchain" during earnings call?
- +$217.50at 0.130Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $103K on June 5 at 5 PM ET?
- +$169.20at 0.154Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$129.09at 0.484Tuyo FDV above $150M one day after launch?
- +$92.28at 0.539Will "Marty Supreme" win exactly 1 award at the Oscars?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 20:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999827 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 20:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.33 | $3.00 |
| 07-31 20:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.59 | $13.40 |
| 07-31 19:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4399999894 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.76 | $19.49 |
| 07-31 19:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.389999986 | $10.00 |
| 07-31 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | SELL | 0.46 | $5.90 |
| 07-31 19:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.3899999774 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2599998648 | $1.00 |
| 07-31 19:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | SELL | 0.44 | $7.85 |
| 07-31 19:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2799999731 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-31 19:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET | SELL | 0.79 | $5.57 |