PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

sdge3

0x40b5b882fe2429c5b0f11f5e206dd83c453c0015

Realised P&L
$-42.71
Volume
$252.25
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$8.27

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7800.860$3.31+$0.31
Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.5900.580$1.97$0.03
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? · Yes0.5600.305$1.09$0.91
Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.375$0.99$0.01
Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? · Yes0.3600.175$0.49$0.51
Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? · Yes0.2400.105$0.44$0.56
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers · Rockets0.7200.000$0.00$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? · Yes0.2540.000$0.00$3.00
World Championships: Czechia vs. Canada · Czechia0.2100.000$0.00$1.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? · Yes0.3220.000$0.00$3.00
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26? · No0.6500.000$0.00$1.00
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway · Norway0.1300.000$0.00$2.00
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$2.00
Lakers vs. Kings · Lakers0.7900.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-13 15:03Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?SELL0.68$1.15
09-13 15:03Base FDV above $3B one day after launch?BUY0.3799999924$1.00
09-13 15:02Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5899999145$2.00
09-12 09:19Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September?BUY0.2399999808$1.00
09-12 09:18Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September?BUY0.3599999712$1.00
09-12 09:18Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September?BUY0.5599999328$2.00
08-27 19:35Will Solana reach $120 in August?SELL0.222$2.07
08-27 19:34Will Solana reach $110 in August?SELL0.858$6.33
08-25 09:29Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.5899998466$1.00
08-25 09:29Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.78$3.00
08-25 08:22Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August?BUY0.1904761905$2.00
08-24 19:37Will Solana reach $120 in August?BUY0.1069999089$1.00
08-24 19:37Will Solana reach $110 in August?BUY0.2706466998$2.00
08-24 19:37Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?BUY0.3219999337$3.00
08-24 19:36Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?BUY0.2539999502$3.00