sdge3
0x40b5b882fe2429c5b0f11f5e206dd83c453c0015
- Realised P&L
- $-42.71
- Volume
- $252.25
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-16.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.18at 0.284Will Solana reach $110 in August?
- +$3.14at 0.245World Championships: Czechia vs. Norway
- +$0.90at 0.114Will Solana reach $120 in August?
- +$0.59at 0.630Suns vs. Grizzlies
- +$0.54at 0.650Clippers vs. Knicks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 15:03 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.68 | $1.15 |
| 09-13 15:03 | Base FDV above $3B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 09-13 15:02 | Base FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899999145 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 09:19 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 in September? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in September? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $1.00 |
| 09-12 09:18 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in September? | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |
| 08-27 19:35 | Will Solana reach $120 in August? | SELL | 0.222 | $2.07 |
| 08-27 19:34 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | SELL | 0.858 | $6.33 |
| 08-25 09:29 | Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-25 09:29 | Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.78 | $3.00 |
| 08-25 08:22 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in August? | BUY | 0.1904761905 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 19:37 | Will Solana reach $120 in August? | BUY | 0.1069999089 | $1.00 |
| 08-24 19:37 | Will Solana reach $110 in August? | BUY | 0.2706466998 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 19:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August? | BUY | 0.3219999337 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 19:36 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August? | BUY | 0.2539999502 | $3.00 |