A1SI
0x40ad6425217480e709da26b4259e1404fe968a62
- Realised P&L
- $-1.49
- Volume
- $878.27
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $29.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample22 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.24at 0.647Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?
- +$0.12at 0.721Will Mykola Kuleba win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
- +$0.09at 0.581Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
- +$0.06at 0.922Modi out by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.951Plague pandemic in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 07:48 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%? | SELL | 0.118 | $0.59 |
| 10-09 07:45 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 10-09 07:44 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.80 |
| 10-09 07:02 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | SELL | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-09 07:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | SELL | 0.43 | $2.15 |
| 10-09 07:02 | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? | SELL | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-08 22:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.60 |
| 10-08 22:19 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.074 | $0.37 |
| 10-08 22:11 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.434 | $1.30 |
| 10-08 22:11 | Plague pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $2.78 |
| 10-08 22:10 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.561 | $2.32 |