PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x409E6a322bCC9ECE18F4750cf2e6853A4A284064-1768796297651

0x409e6a322bcc9ece18f4750cf2e6853a4a284064

Realised P&L
$-160.68
Volume
$4.8k
Markets traded
163
Open portfolio
$69.91

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded163
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2? · Yes0.3300.276$18.72−$3.67
Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes0.5800.630$10.86+$0.86
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? · No0.7500.785$10.47+$0.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · No0.5940.598$10.07+$0.07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? · No0.7300.725$9.93−$0.07
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · No0.3700.365$9.86−$0.14

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 02:46Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$9.33
11-02 02:17Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.296$7.39
11-02 01:42Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.2799999978$5.00
11-02 01:22Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
11-01 23:13Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.3699999867$10.00
11-01 23:13Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.299999994$10.00
11-01 23:12Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.75$10.00
11-01 17:02Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 2?BUY0.3979999864$10.00
11-01 16:28Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.1379999964$1.00
11-01 15:57Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?SELL0.473$48.70
11-01 15:39Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.2950246396$5.00
11-01 15:16Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.346$3.62
11-01 14:19Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.3713315966$5.00
11-01 14:18Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.3819999923$10.00
11-01 13:20Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on November 1?BUY0.4939999995$10.00