amfiton
0x4080fdef1ec1d1896e6ac31988b86563a5ee037f
- Realised P&L
- $-47.91
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $15.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)11.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.75at 0.699Will Angela Gonzales-Torres win the CA-34 House seat?
- +$0.14at 0.154Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next?
- +$-0.29at 0.903Will the Republican Party win the MI-01 House seat?
- +$-0.40at 0.865Will the Republican Party win the AK-AL House seat?
- +$-0.48at 0.797Will the Democratic Party win the NE-02 House seat?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-24 00:18 | Will Tim Walz win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.0098350924 | $4.97 |
| 08-23 21:22 | Will Rafael Fiziev fight Dan Hooker next? | SELL | 0.163 | $4.40 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.85 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2199998695 | $1.18 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.85 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.85 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2199998695 | $1.18 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2199998695 | $1.18 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Tim O'Hare win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.6999999626 | $3.74 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2199998695 | $1.18 |
| 08-23 19:50 | Will Alisa Simmons win the 2026 Tarrant County Judge election? | BUY | 0.2199998695 | $1.18 |
| 08-23 15:20 | Will the Republican Party win the NE-02 House seat? | SELL | 0.131 | $2.70 |
| 08-23 15:03 | Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.36 |
| 08-23 15:03 | Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.82 |
| 08-23 15:03 | Will Bob Rommel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.43 |