PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

NothingEverHappens12

0x407d04dacce5aba2e397cfc4bacd8ef044e2efcd

Realised P&L
$581.02
Volume
$47.1k
Markets traded
291
Open portfolio
$998.89

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded291
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 00:32Will Trump be impeached by June 30, 2027?BUY0.5$2.00
11-01 21:05US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5829999545$3.00
11-01 20:15US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?BUY0.2799999978$15.00
11-01 20:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?SELL0.86$10.57
11-01 18:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026?BUY0.8699999913$2.00
11-01 16:29Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30?BUY0.2$2.87
11-01 14:54Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5699999886$20.00
11-01 14:33Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.109999989$1.00
11-01 14:33Will the Republican Party hold exactly 49 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?BUY0.1099999951$2.00
11-01 11:34Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?SELL0.11$10.70
11-01 11:33Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.9730269726$100.00
11-01 11:31Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.8299999978$30.00
11-01 01:17Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.961034149$80.00
11-01 01:15Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3$11.70
10-31 22:43Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by September 30, 2027?BUY0.6420894515$5.00