CrazyCat-Kiwi
0x40601b813190cee07d18c1a3c67ee3399bdfc1c4
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $464.7k
- Markets traded
- 364
- Open portfolio
- $1.3k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.9%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded364
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? · Yes | 0.451 | 0.515 | $738.18 | +$92.37 |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.3% in August? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.695 | $446.32 | +$118.68 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August? · Yes | 0.297 | 0.295 | $101.90 | −$0.65 |
| Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? · Yes | 0.118 | 0.055 | $47.12 | −$54.45 |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? · No | 0.030 | 0.005 | $8.25 | −$36.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.4kat 0.218Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?
- +$2.0kat 0.204Will no one dissent the September Fed decision?
- +$1.8kat 0.290Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?
- +$959.98at 0.097Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be between 2.4% and 3.2%?
- +$959.34at 0.009Will Japan Q2 GDP growth (annualized) be at least 4.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:27 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.08 |
| 09-17 13:26 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.2% in August? | BUY | 0.2968734621 | $102.55 |
| 09-17 13:26 | Will Core PCE YoY be 3.1% in August? | BUY | 0.1187925858 | $100.49 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 00:10 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.45 | $185.81 |
| 09-17 00:09 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $150.00 |
| 09-17 00:09 | Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.4497001993 | $300.00 |
| 09-17 00:08 | Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.03 | $45.00 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.016663041 | $19.84 |
| 09-17 00:07 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.0162458581 | $31.53 |
| 09-16 18:27 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.0k |
| 09-15 20:15 | Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.2319041025 | $66.99 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.24 | $14.40 |
| 09-15 20:11 | Will two people dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.25 | $30.00 |
| 09-15 13:08 | Will no one dissent the September Fed decision? | SELL | 0.3514770306 | $123.72 |