TR0GL0DIT
0x40566d2f3a0d04aa690d63ae41903343dc20f839
- Realised P&L
- $-28.60
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 731
- Open portfolio
- $121.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded731
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.34at 0.283Will Israel invade Syria in 2024?
- +$15.57at 0.580Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
- +$13.81at 0.420Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
- +$12.25at 0.572UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$10.15at 0.330GTA VI released in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 18:40 | Will Karlsruher SC vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.93 |
| 09-18 18:36 | Will VfB Stuttgart vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:35 | Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999933 | $11.00 |
| 09-18 18:33 | Will Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7599999848 | $30.00 |
| 09-18 18:33 | Will Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $21.00 |
| 09-18 18:24 | Will FC Eindhoven vs. FC Emmen end in a draw? | BUY | 0.75 | $7.00 |
| 09-18 18:24 | Will FC Emmen win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 09-18 18:17 | Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.8 | $10.00 |
| 09-18 18:16 | Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7399999992 | $18.00 |
| 09-15 22:58 | Will Angel City FC vs. Seattle Reign FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 22:57 | Will Denver Summit FC vs. Bay FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 09-15 22:54 | Will FC Lugano vs. FC St. Gallen 1879 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7799999844 | $6.00 |
| 09-15 22:52 | Will SK Rapid vs. WSG Tirol end in a draw? | BUY | 0.839999995 | $20.00 |
| 09-15 22:47 | Will PFC Slavia Sofia vs. FC CSKA 1948 end in a draw? | BUY | 0.7699999846 | $4.00 |
| 09-15 22:44 | Will AFC Ajax vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw? | BUY | 0.8599999906 | $11.00 |