PolyBot

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Traders

0x4049f652fE11f5F9092a532f239894b512724db4-1779880903805

0x4049f652fe11f5f9092a532f239894b512724db4

Realised P&L
$572.26
Volume
$16.6k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:22Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2599999997$200.00
09-14 15:48Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.679999999$200.00
09-14 09:59Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.609999999$200.00
09-10 12:27Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
09-10 12:24Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5099999999$500.00
08-04 13:31Will Jeremy Strong be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1188118812$30.00
08-04 13:20Will Dune: Messiah get the most Oscar nominations at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.072699779$40.00
08-04 10:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?SELL0.999$756.81
07-16 10:04Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4159999982$100.00
07-16 09:56Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?BUY0.0369999983$20.00
07-16 09:54Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0529999976$20.00
07-16 09:53Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0089999996$20.00
07-07 12:21Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2399999964$40.00
07-06 10:45Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.5199999809$12.00
07-06 10:45Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2299999869$10.00