PolyBot

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Traders

0x4049f652fE11f5F9092a532f239894b512724db4-1779880903805

0x4049f652fe11f5f9092a532f239894b512724db4

Realised P&L
$439.63
Volume
$18.9k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$3.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 07:19Will Todd Achilles win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0663721358$100.00
09-24 10:08Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0899999993$10.00
09-24 09:54Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0899999997$21.89
09-21 09:16Will Andrew Scott win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.1799999994$40.00
09-18 12:08Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?BUY0.1499999997$50.00
09-18 12:07Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3299999989$50.00
09-18 11:11Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?BUY0.0827586206$20.00
09-18 11:10Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.2099999994$40.00
09-17 10:07Bank of Mexico increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?BUY0.0903789624$10.00
09-17 09:53Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?BUY0.1199999999$50.00
09-15 12:22Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2599999997$200.00
09-14 15:48Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?BUY0.679999999$200.00
09-14 09:59Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.609999999$200.00
09-10 12:27Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?BUY0.3499999997$100.00
09-10 12:24Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5099999999$500.00