PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

esports095

0x40471b34671887546013ceb58740625c2efe7293

Realised P&L
$472.1k
Volume
$21.76M
Markets traded
2,077
Open portfolio
$103.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded2,077
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.512$51.3k+$1.3k
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.5000.487$48.8k$1.3k
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs · Yellow Submarine0.6531.000$2.1k+$724.01
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? · No0.9000.915$998.44+$16.37
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September? · No0.9690.980$264.45+$2.76
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0480.053$69.13+$6.95
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.5050.190$40.75$67.47
Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026? · No0.9360.947$28.22+$0.31
Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL - Map 2 Winner · BBL0.3400.000$0.00$188.70
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs Natus Vincere (+3.5) · Natus Vincere0.5500.000$0.00$976.60
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00$10.21
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · Natus Vincere0.5200.000$0.00$24.1k
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs · MOUZ0.5420.000$0.00$1.3k
Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA - Map 1 Winner · Bounty Hunters Esports0.4630.000$0.00$60.21
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner · Vitality0.4340.000$0.00$586.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 21:35Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.601$30.40
09-21 21:33Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.6809686525$128.82
09-21 21:33Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.687588092$285.01
09-21 21:24Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.691$53.47
09-21 21:24Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League PlayoffsBUY0.6893255024$48.71
09-21 17:22Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group StageBUY0.85$10.6k
09-21 15:05Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in September?BUY0.9692592044$261.68
09-20 23:50Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsSELL0.01$0.20
09-20 23:50Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba PlayoffsSELL0.04$0.86
09-20 21:43Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.54$10.26
09-20 21:42Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5)BUY0.47$141.00
09-20 21:35Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs BESTIA - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.45$49.95
09-20 18:46Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?BUY0.99$742.10
09-20 18:42Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0495695743$28.11
09-20 18:30Will Vitality Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?BUY0.93$1.8k