Ilostmywife
0x402dc6ccf16c62d81172229590d3f903b2fa3dc6
- Realised P&L
- $37.53
- Volume
- $28.9k
- Markets traded
- 140
- Open portfolio
- $119.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded140
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$228.40at 0.075Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
- +$18.89at 0.360Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$14.41at 0.581U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by January 31, 2026?
- +$13.81at 0.590Nothing Ever Happens: November
- +$9.96at 0.561Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-09 18:39 | Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31? | BUY | 0.6799999728 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 18:36 | Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $15.00 |
| 07-09 18:34 | Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999911 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 02:43 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15? | BUY | 0.919999814 | $2.77 |
| 06-30 02:41 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999917 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 02:39 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 19:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099995859 | $2.00 |
| 06-29 17:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7979999697 | $2.00 |
| 06-26 16:59 | Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 16:49 | Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election? | BUY | 0.8299998589 | $5.00 |
| 06-26 16:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 16:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 16:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 16:27 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26? | BUY | 0.8499999405 | $5.00 |