PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Ilostmywife

0x402dc6ccf16c62d81172229590d3f903b2fa3dc6

Realised P&L
$37.53
Volume
$28.9k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$119.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.9120.953$20.89+$0.89
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? · No0.9000.935$20.78+$0.78
Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026? · Yes0.7000.530$11.36$3.64
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? · No0.5200.500$9.62$0.38
Trump out as President before GTA VI? · No0.4800.500$8.83+$0.35
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? · No0.5600.715$6.38+$1.38
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.5600.320$5.71$4.29
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.8600.957$5.56+$0.56
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? · No0.4900.500$5.49+$0.11
Will the Republican Party win the PA-01 House seat? · Yes0.5400.575$5.32+$0.32
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-01 House seat? · No0.5900.605$5.13+$0.13
Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027? · No0.9700.939$4.84$0.16
Clavicular sentenced to prison? · No0.9100.945$4.72+$0.17
Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.3380.200$2.96$2.04
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9100.935$2.05+$0.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 18:39Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?BUY0.6799999728$5.00
07-09 18:36Will Donald Trump visit New Hampshire in 2026?BUY0.7$15.00
07-09 18:34Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026?BUY0.8899999911$7.00
06-30 02:43Iran charges Hormuz fees by July 15?BUY0.919999814$2.77
06-30 02:41US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?BUY0.6899999917$5.00
06-30 02:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.6199999628$5.00
06-29 19:13Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.9099995859$2.00
06-29 17:54Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.7979999697$2.00
06-26 16:59Cincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh PiratesBUY0.6299999811$5.00
06-26 16:49Will Bev Craig win the greatest number of valid first preference votes in the 2026 Greater Manchester Mayoral Election?BUY0.8299998589$5.00
06-26 16:47Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.7099999432$1.00
06-26 16:42Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.7599999088$1.00
06-26 16:39Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:35PM-12:40PM ETBUY0.0299999712$1.00
06-26 16:32Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:30PM-12:35PM ETBUY0.16$1.00
06-26 16:27Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-26?BUY0.8499999405$5.00