PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

XAI

0x3ffa4c5729f5259e401d13c5c89ecaf2f5ab921c

Realised P&L
$66.43
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
1,169
Open portfolio
$271.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,169
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9190.958$58.31+$2.31
Floyd Mayweather vs. Manny Pacquiao 2 · Mayweather0.6600.505$21.42$6.58
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.8200.945$20.74+$2.74
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.8600.931$19.49+$1.49
Brian Armstrong out as Coinbase CEO before 2027? · No0.8770.938$19.24+$1.24
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027? · No0.8700.983$11.29+$1.29
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.8200.882$10.76+$0.76
Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026? · No0.3800.915$9.63+$5.63
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0700.165$9.40+$5.40
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · No0.8200.945$9.21+$1.21
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.7100.715$8.06+$0.06
UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card) · Arman Tsarukyan0.7500.735$7.84$0.16
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.9390.903$7.70$0.30
Broncos vs. Chiefs · Chiefs0.5701.000$7.02+$3.02
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? · No0.6320.974$6.16+$2.16

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-11 15:48UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.7499999766$8.00
09-11 15:47M15 Budapest: John Sperle vs Gabriele Maria NoceBUY0.8699999913$2.00
09-11 15:46Broncos vs. ChiefsBUY0.5699999886$4.00
09-11 15:46Cardinals vs. ChargersBUY0.8099999838$4.00
09-11 15:46Saints vs. LionsBUY0.7499999063$4.00
09-05 14:42UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charrière vs. Felipe Lima (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.6599999604$5.00
09-05 14:42UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)BUY0.8$40.00
07-12 03:55UFC Fight Night: Jared Cannonier vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.7109443255$8.00
07-12 03:54UFC Fight Night: Kamaru Usman vs. Dricus Du Plessis (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.3$18.00
06-06 01:44Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.7099999503$3.00
06-06 01:44Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.71$4.00
06-01 19:37Will Kim Kwan-young win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?BUY0.7950310559$8.00
06-01 19:33Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6429999938$28.00
06-01 06:25Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETBUY0.5$5.00
06-01 06:13Will Trump say "Affordable" or "Affordability" in June?BUY0.9099998339$4.00