OoopsBankrupt
0x3fbbb0e81839dac3a85ce70952ae35195f323f66
- Realised P&L
- $-15.3k
- Volume
- $1.36M
- Markets traded
- 382
- Open portfolio
- $4.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded382
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration40.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.2kat 0.575Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcats
- +$5.3kat 0.750Kentucky Wildcats vs. Iowa State Cyclones
- +$5.1kat 0.621Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$4.0kat 0.749Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartans
- +$3.4kat 0.879Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-04 22:51 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.811 | $10.10 |
| 08-27 22:53 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.909 | $89.08 |
| 08-25 20:38 | Will Lighter reach $10 before 2027? | BUY | 0.863 | $129.45 |
| 08-21 19:07 | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-21? | BUY | 0.9 | $20.00 |
| 08-21 17:21 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.97 | $465.60 |
| 08-21 17:20 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 08-21 17:14 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | BUY | 0.95 | $663.38 |
| 08-21 17:11 | Will Lighter reach $3 before 2027? | SELL | 0.051279064 | $10.26 |
| 08-21 09:28 | Will Lighter reach $4 before 2027? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.5k |
| 08-21 08:34 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.007 | $2.25 |
| 08-21 00:31 | Will Jacob Misiorowski win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.548 | $26.57 |
| 08-20 20:00 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.68 | $20.40 |
| 08-20 08:05 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.584 | $204.40 |
| 08-20 07:54 | Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August? | SELL | 0.6001572458 | $1.9k |
| 08-09 00:51 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $87.27 |