PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

LuckasVane

0x3fb0d286e44f9f3b349725bb8cd1344a3452a112

Realised P&L
$24.05
Volume
$14.5k
Markets traded
182
Open portfolio
$15.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded182
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will a team from LCS (North America) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0130.006$5.92−$7.28
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.2800.245$4.37−$0.63
Will a team from LEC (Europe / EMEA) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0540.011$2.54−$9.86
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.175$1.17+$0.17
Will Borussia Dortmund win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.0120.009$0.79−$0.21
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? · Yes0.1300.051$0.40−$0.60
Will a team from CBLOL (Brazil) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$1.00
Will a team from LCP (Asia-Pacific) win LoL Worlds 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group Stage · G2 Esports0.1950.000$0.00−$3.69

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 01:52LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.1947229551$3.69
10-27 01:38Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31?SELL0.03$0.33
10-27 01:38Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?SELL0.17$0.58
10-27 01:37Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?SELL0.05$0.46
10-27 01:37Will Morgan Rogers (Chelsea) be the top goalscorer of the 2026-27 Premier League season?SELL0.004$0.63
10-27 01:35Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.999$1.91
10-26 18:49Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.7899999477$1.51
10-25 15:16LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.8899999346$1.36
10-25 15:15LoL: Karmine Corp vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.299999985$2.00
10-25 15:15LoL: Gen.G vs LYON (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.1$1.00
10-25 15:14LoL: Dplus KIA vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.219999978$2.00
10-25 15:14LoL: Top Esports vs G2 Esports (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.5299999868$2.00
10-25 15:10LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.74$1.00
10-24 14:56LoL: Team Liquid vs Bilibili Gaming (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.25$1.00
10-24 14:56LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group StageBUY0.4399998592$1.00