yjxs
0x3f9f0420701d3311ce8ed742b4b4ae72ac1d5615
- Realised P&L
- $9.50
- Volume
- $80.5k
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $136.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.995 | $32.84 | −$0.03 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.590 | $23.60 | +$0.40 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $21.92 | −$0.01 |
| Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.500 | $20.00 | +$4.40 |
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.550 | 0.645 | $19.34 | +$2.85 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.991 | 0.988 | $14.81 | −$0.05 |
| Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.623 | 0.086 | $4.12 | −$25.73 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January? · No | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.36 |
| Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · No | 0.956 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
| Will Drake be the third most streamed Spotify artist for 2025? · Yes | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.65at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET
- +$9.32at 0.479Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
- +$7.39at 0.704Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$7.36at 0.649Ethereum all time high by December 31?
- +$7.16at 0.983Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by December 31, 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 17:21 | Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $32.87 |
| 10-31 17:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 10-31 17:21 | Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $14.87 |
| 10-31 17:20 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.58 | $23.20 |
| 10-31 17:20 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.55 | $16.49 |
| 10-31 17:19 | Will Ethereum hit $4k by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.39 | $15.60 |
| 05-26 11:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $53.95 |
| 05-26 11:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $14.96 |
| 05-26 11:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? | BUY | 0.994 | $14.91 |
| 05-26 11:46 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $54.67 |
| 05-26 11:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET | BUY | 0.99 | $100.00 |
| 04-30 03:41 | Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.991 | $20.81 |
| 04-30 03:41 | Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.99 | $32.67 |
| 04-30 03:41 | Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $14.94 |
| 04-30 03:40 | Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |