Polyscam
0x3ef0d50fa846f800f45191f77c518adb9ef6f1a9
- Realised P&L
- $661.64
- Volume
- $18.8k
- Markets traded
- 295
- Open portfolio
- $292.74
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded295
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.905 | 0.918 | $103.73 | +$1.47 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.870 | 0.845 | $84.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? · Yes | 0.879 | 0.883 | $61.81 | +$0.28 |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.785 | $39.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.035 | $3.45 | −$0.85 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.00 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? · No | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$25.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$77.00at 0.615Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$62.50at 0.300Will Trump post 11-15 times this week?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will RFK Jr. say "Vaccine" during Friday address?
- +$40.00at 0.200Will Kamala Harris say "Obama" during DNC speech?
- +$39.16at 0.449Bernie Sanders endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 11:03 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.905 | $102.27 |
| 09-25 15:59 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.87 | $87.00 |
| 09-25 12:45 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 09-25 09:34 | Will SPD be in the next Berlin state government? | BUY | 0.879 | $61.53 |
| 09-06 13:08 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 03-23 12:34 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 03-19 18:51 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.51 | $25.50 |
| 03-09 22:35 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March? | BUY | 0.28 | $2.80 |
| 03-06 17:34 | FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 03-06 11:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 03-06 11:53 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.62 | $31.00 |
| 03-05 17:48 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $37.50 |
| 03-04 15:43 | Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4? | BUY | 0.91 | $45.50 |
| 03-04 09:08 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.77 | $38.50 |
| 09-21 10:42 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.66 | $16.50 |