cash751111
0x3ee107771326b1e408cd79dbaac9a84abfa7a5ef
- Realised P&L
- $-166.92
- Volume
- $39.7k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $383.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No | 0.959 | 0.964 | $192.70 | +$0.90 |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.930 | 0.925 | $111.00 | −$0.60 |
| Trump out as President by September 30? · No | 0.991 | 1.000 | $49.98 | +$0.42 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: September · Nothing | 0.988 | 0.985 | $29.55 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$105.70at 0.125Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
- +$67.41at 0.605Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$30.67at 0.328Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
- +$28.62at 0.351France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$6.39at 0.900Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 09:46 | Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.93 | $111.60 |
| 09-23 09:44 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.959 | $191.80 |
| 09-23 09:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $60.87 |
| 09-23 09:39 | Nothing Ever Happens: September | BUY | 0.988 | $29.64 |
| 09-18 09:10 | Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.998122868 | $393.26 |
| 09-11 09:29 | Trump out as President by September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $49.55 |
| 08-31 03:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $71.28 |
| 08-31 03:05 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $89.31 |
| 08-31 03:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.98 | $122.50 |
| 08-31 03:02 | Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 22°C on August 31? | BUY | 0.99 | $61.38 |
| 08-09 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $124.88 |
| 08-09 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 10? | BUY | 0.997 | $9.97 |
| 08-09 12:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 10? | BUY | 0.997952381 | $209.57 |
| 08-09 12:00 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $24.50 |
| 08-09 11:59 | Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $10.67 |