PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3ed47b320199d7c9a4230dc781c08f274c7f8e09

0x3ed47b320199d7c9a4230dc781c08f274c7f8e09

Realised P&L
$-4.03
Volume
$252.97
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$44.93

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration—
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · No0.6900.725$3.68+$0.18
Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary? · Yes0.9680.977$3.53+$0.03
Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? · No0.7400.755$3.49+$0.07
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9600.955$3.48−$0.02
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? · No0.7600.755$3.48−$0.02
Will Donald Trump attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9340.914$3.43−$0.07
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? · Yes0.9400.915$3.41−$0.09
Another GTA VI trailer released by October 31? · No0.4100.395$3.37−$0.13
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.1200.115$3.35−$0.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4040.384$3.32−$0.18
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.3200.315$3.26−$0.05
US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.6600.605$3.21−$0.29
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? · Yes0.1190.083$2.45−$1.05
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · No0.9300.920$1.48−$0.02
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? · Yes0.5100.000$0.00−$3.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 00:43Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31?SELL0.75$0.08
10-14 22:10Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?BUY0.759999861$3.50
10-14 22:03NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.91$1.04
10-14 21:22Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026?BUY0.051203277$3.50
10-14 21:18NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.92$0.06
10-14 21:13NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?SELL0.91$0.86
10-14 21:04US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.96$3.50
10-14 20:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?SELL0.31$0.19
10-14 20:38Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?BUY0.32$3.50
10-14 20:19Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.13$3.25
10-14 20:16NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9299999655$3.50
10-14 19:53Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.14$3.50
10-14 19:06Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14?BUY0.509999933$3.50
10-14 18:26US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027?BUY0.6599999133$3.50
10-14 18:25Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?BUY0.94$3.50