0x3ed47b320199d7c9a4230dc781c08f274c7f8e09
0x3ed47b320199d7c9a4230dc781c08f274c7f8e09
- Realised P&L
- $-4.03
- Volume
- $252.97
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $44.93
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration8.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.32at 0.141Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 00:43 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by December 31? | SELL | 0.75 | $0.08 |
| 10-14 22:10 | Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029? | BUY | 0.759999861 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 22:03 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.04 |
| 10-14 21:22 | Will there be exactly 2 North Korea tests in October 2026? | BUY | 0.051203277 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 21:18 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.06 |
| 10-14 21:13 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $0.86 |
| 10-14 21:04 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.96 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 20:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.19 |
| 10-14 20:38 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 20:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $3.25 |
| 10-14 20:16 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9299999655 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 19:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 19:06 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.509999933 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 18:26 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.6599999133 | $3.50 |
| 10-14 18:25 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $3.50 |