PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

12123423435345345

0x3ed0b8e7c919dd7b881e22f242f9af7666f0ec5a

Realised P&L
$693.15
Volume
$16.4k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$210.06

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration89.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample26 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration82.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0140.048$173.32+$123.32
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2860.085$29.72$70.28
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0140.003$6.38$28.62
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0230.001$0.65$29.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET · Up0.2890.000$0.00$28.92
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$99.86
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.2870.000$0.00$1.77
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET · Up0.3530.000$0.00$3.69
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET · Up0.3420.000$0.00$2.27
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET · Down0.3260.000$0.00$8.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET · Up0.3390.000$0.00$11.67
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET · Up0.4700.000$0.00$3.53
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET · Down0.3100.000$0.00$3.44
Counter-Strike: G2 vs NIP (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1 · NIP0.0100.000$0.00$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET · Down0.6140.000$0.00$8.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 17:11Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.529$20.63
05-23 20:31Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?BUY0.047$2.68
05-20 16:08Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETBUY0.1199999808$5.00
05-16 19:28Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.0756652157$9.73
05-16 19:23Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.077726396$10.00
04-05 02:03Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.06$0.34
04-05 01:59Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETBUY0.179999928$1.76
03-29 20:33Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL0.006$2.75
03-22 01:29Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSELL0.1$2.00
03-22 01:27Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETBUY0.2299999692$4.92
03-18 22:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ETBUY0.05$4.99
03-12 19:31Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ETBUY0.1190071594$2.98
03-12 16:56Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETBUY0.3931034691$2.91
03-12 16:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETBUY0.0530437176$3.00
03-12 16:50Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSELL0.9909999982$10.18