PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TT011NT

0x3ecde456a1d9e60da2233f01c6084d779e5864ae

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$45.8k
Markets traded
84
Open portfolio
$29.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.6%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded84
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration82.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1200.225$9.37+$4.37
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes0.1500.175$5.83+$0.83
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes0.1060.076$3.58−$1.42
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.057$3.53−$6.47
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? · Yes0.2200.120$2.73−$2.27
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2700.115$2.13−$2.87
Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? · Yes0.0600.025$2.04−$2.96
Nothing Ever Happens: September · Something0.0270.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Donald Trump dance on June 15, 2026? · Yes0.7700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Luxembourg win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$5.00
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? · No0.7000.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1620.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? · Yes0.0910.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-24 12:57Russia military action against an EU country by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0216232792$5.00
09-24 12:55Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?BUY0.0125888563$5.00
09-24 12:51Nothing Ever Happens: SeptemberBUY0.0269999999$5.00
08-04 12:55US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.2399999674$5.00
08-04 12:40Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?BUY0.4799999808$5.00
08-04 12:39Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026?BUY0.0907776366$5.00
08-04 12:38Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?SELL0.039$3.14
07-23 08:21Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?BUY0.0588264022$5.00
07-20 12:36Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?BUY0.120374034$5.00
07-20 12:34U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027?BUY0.1060964654$5.00
07-20 12:33U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027?BUY0.2199999727$5.00
07-20 12:28Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.2699999681$5.00
07-20 12:25Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.149999976$5.00
07-20 12:24Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?BUY0.1199999808$5.00
07-20 11:15Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?BUY0.025$5.00