TT011NT
0x3ecde456a1d9e60da2233f01c6084d779e5864ae
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $45.0k
- Markets traded
- 81
- Open portfolio
- $29.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded81
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration82.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.010Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$257.39at 0.166Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.56at 0.298Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?
- +$21.75at 0.187Will fewer than 25 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between June 8-June 14?
- +$11.56at 0.306 World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 12:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999674 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August? | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:39 | Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.0907776366 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.039 | $3.14 |
| 07-23 08:21 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31? | BUY | 0.0588264022 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:36 | Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.120374034 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:34 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? | BUY | 0.1060964654 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:33 | U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:28 | Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:25 | Will Paris Saint-Germain win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.149999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 12:24 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.1199999808 | $5.00 |
| 07-20 11:15 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.025 | $5.00 |
| 06-22 08:39 | Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.059999989 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 09:43 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31? | BUY | 0.0240000002 | $5.00 |
| 06-19 08:36 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another country? | BUY | 0.0029999994 | $5.00 |