bananaleaf
0x3ec9d89134b08d49b4df1331ff533c60421a9ee3
- Realised P&L
- $-270.83
- Volume
- $7.5k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.556 | 0.475 | $396.50 | −$67.31 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.346 | 0.295 | $372.85 | −$64.26 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.674 | 0.660 | $280.63 | −$5.80 |
| Will Republicans sweep the Texas Senate and Governor elections? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.280 | $41.80 | −$5.47 |
| Blue tsunami in 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.325 | $32.50 | −$18.50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.265 | $15.90 | −$7.50 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.057 | $7.05 | −$0.06 |
| Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? · Yes | 0.079 | 0.078 | $5.00 | −$0.03 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.151 | 0.155 | $3.23 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$84.35at 0.785Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01?
- +$22.14at 0.883Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?
- +$20.16at 0.904Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-25?
- +$13.30at 0.790Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
- +$8.02at 0.960Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 20:37 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.057 | $7.11 |
| 11-01 19:18 | Jack Barton announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.0785010136 | $5.03 |
| 11-01 18:50 | Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $161.28 |
| 11-01 18:20 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.83 | $47.25 |
| 11-01 18:18 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.85 | $142.93 |
| 11-01 18:17 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.74 | $193.87 |
| 11-01 18:08 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.71 | $44.15 |
| 11-01 18:06 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.72 | $38.68 |
| 11-01 17:04 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6 | $15.31 |
| 11-01 16:50 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.63 | $16.05 |
| 10-28 16:53 | Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7296086667 | $109.44 |
| 10-28 15:36 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty? | SELL | 0.999 | $81.98 |
| 10-28 12:29 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty? | BUY | 0.94 | $31.02 |
| 10-28 12:29 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty? | BUY | 0.93 | $21.58 |
| 10-28 08:34 | Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty? | BUY | 0.92 | $71.76 |