0x3eaed5cdacd25b04b4f4110a39cd4ca6312d5a73
0x3eaed5cdacd25b04b4f4110a39cd4ca6312d5a73
- Realised P&L
- $-1.91
- Volume
- $166.66
- Markets traded
- 52
- Open portfolio
- $3.16
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded52
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample47 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.555 | $0.91 | −$0.09 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? · No | 0.450 | 0.385 | $0.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.185 | $0.77 | −$0.23 |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.155 | $0.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.050 | $0.21 | −$1.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.38at 0.320US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?
- +$3.14at 0.247Trump renames AI by September 30?
- +$2.35at 0.410Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 17?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$1.68at 0.379Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 05:39 | Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 20:15 | Will JP Morgan (JPM) Q3 investment banking fees be above $3.35B? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:46 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4499998425 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 12:14 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 04:01 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 19:51 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $59 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3399999388 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 11:50 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 09:17 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on October 2? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 12:26 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:06 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 04:02 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 18:30 | Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:09 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 30? | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 09-30 10:07 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 28 2026? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 07:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |