PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3e9D946c8e9350124E1dfCee5FF323c63faF9533-1753394188772

0x3e9d946c8e9350124e1dfcee5ff323c63faf9533

Realised P&L
$-64.48
Volume
$2.8k
Markets traded
42
Open portfolio
$166.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded42
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9080.959$59.46+$3.14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.9170.955$57.30+$2.30
US defaults on debt by 2027? · No0.9610.974$48.67+$0.63
Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No0.8600.943$1.06+$0.09
France vs. England: Both Teams to Score · No0.2300.000$0.00$2.30

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-10 20:20Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.92$46.00
07-05 22:01Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreSELL0.28$1.68
07-05 21:13Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.68$4.08
07-05 14:43Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7$4.19
07-04 21:30Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5BUY0.58$3.48
07-04 19:28Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$9.00
07-03 19:49Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL0.74$2.27
07-03 19:38Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
06-28 20:18Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?BUY0.5099998861$1.97
06-28 20:17Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?SELL0.33$1.65
06-28 18:55Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?BUY0.52$2.60
06-25 21:39Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?SELL0.034$0.48
06-25 20:10Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5549999512$5.00
06-24 20:51Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.8489999609$2.00
06-24 20:20Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.44$2.20