0x3e9D946c8e9350124E1dfCee5FF323c63faF9533-1753394188772
0x3e9d946c8e9350124e1dfcee5ff323c63faf9533
- Realised P&L
- $-64.48
- Volume
- $2.8k
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $166.49
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No | 0.908 | 0.959 | $59.46 | +$3.14 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.917 | 0.955 | $57.30 | +$2.30 |
| US defaults on debt by 2027? · No | 0.961 | 0.974 | $48.67 | +$0.63 |
| Will Gabriel Attal advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? · No | 0.860 | 0.943 | $1.06 | +$0.09 |
| France vs. England: Both Teams to Score · No | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.30 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.04at 0.930Macron out in 2025?
- +$9.80at 0.510England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$3.53at 0.850Trump out as President before 2027?
- +$2.92at 0.947Macron out by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.76at 0.447Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 20:20 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $46.00 |
| 07-05 22:01 | Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.28 | $1.68 |
| 07-05 21:13 | Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.68 | $4.08 |
| 07-05 14:43 | Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7 | $4.19 |
| 07-04 21:30 | Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $3.48 |
| 07-04 19:28 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $9.00 |
| 07-03 19:49 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.27 |
| 07-03 19:38 | Will Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw? | BUY | 0.6499999025 | $2.00 |
| 06-28 20:18 | Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5099998861 | $1.97 |
| 06-28 20:17 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | SELL | 0.33 | $1.65 |
| 06-28 18:55 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 06-25 21:39 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.48 |
| 06-25 20:10 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5549999512 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 20:51 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.8489999609 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 20:20 | Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |