PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

seneca1337

0x3e940408e48f247fc09613c48c2636c34e5b79a1

Realised P&L
$162.23
Volume
$12.2k
Markets traded
389
Open portfolio
$112.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded389
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration51.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9050.969$58.15+$3.84
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8890.956$23.90+$1.68
Will HSBC fail by end of 2026? · No0.9550.978$21.48+$0.48
Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9420.967$4.83+$0.12
Will JPMorgan Chase fail by end of 2026? · No0.9000.967$2.87+$0.20
Will Goldman Sachs fail by end of 2026? · No0.9520.971$0.99+$0.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-15 20:40Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-10-15?BUY0.98$1.00
09-16 18:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.993$9.93
08-29 12:59Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.992$4.96
08-17 20:19Exact Score: Casa Pia AC 3 - 1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:17Exact Score: Casa Pia AC 1 - 1 Sport Lisboa e Benfica?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:13Will Samsunspor win on 2026-08-17?BUY0.96$4.80
08-17 20:12Exact Score: Samsunspor 3 - 0 Göztepe SK?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:12Exact Score: Samsunspor 0 - 1 Göztepe SK?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:11Exact Score: Samsunspor 0 - 0 Göztepe SK?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:10Exact Score: UD Almería 0 - 2 CD Eldense?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:10Exact Score: UD Almería 0 - 1 CD Eldense?BUY0.999$9.99
08-17 20:08Exact Score: UD Almería 0 - 0 CD Eldense?BUY0.999$9.99
08-02 18:55Exact Score: SK Brann 2 - 0 Rosenborg BK?BUY0.999$19.98
08-02 18:53Exact Score: SK Brann 1 - 0 Rosenborg BK?BUY0.999$9.99
08-02 18:53Exact Score: SK Brann 1 - 1 Rosenborg BK?BUY0.999$9.99