PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zelot

0x3e8df037a6b73ad914aa08e87a27377badaa9c26

Realised P&L
$-1.1k
Volume
$17.7k
Markets traded
238
Open portfolio
$518.90

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded238
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · No0.2500.265$248.85+$14.00
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5900.635$152.92+$10.92
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.315$63.00+$5.00
EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31? · Yes0.6420.675$42.07+$2.07
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2100.215$12.07+$0.28

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 07:422026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.61$122.00
09-21 07:41Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.997$99.69
09-21 07:40Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?SELL0.99620786$498.10
09-19 13:53Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?BUY0.2500952279$234.85
09-19 13:49EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by December 31?BUY0.6418136627$40.00
09-19 13:43Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.21$11.79
09-19 13:40Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.766$76.59
09-19 13:37Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.75$375.00
09-19 13:33NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.29$58.00
05-29 11:53US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?BUY0.82$82.00
05-25 21:50US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?BUY0.9$40.00
05-25 11:55Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?BUY0.709999998$100.00
05-25 11:53US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.7199999998$300.00
05-04 15:43Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.2858457026$30.00
05-03 17:48Iran closes its airspace by May 8?BUY0.1399999888$10.00