PolyBot

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Traders

0x3e75d3646a28f8a89384fbea46469b222e80ab84

0x3e75d3646a28f8a89384fbea46469b222e80ab84

Realised P&L
$-446.49
Volume
$16.9k
Markets traded
116
Open portfolio
$54.83

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded116
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0400.041$20.50+$0.50
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.1100.403$18.30+$13.30
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5400.285$6.49−$5.82
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.3100.175$5.62−$4.33
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? · Yes0.2060.045$2.19−$7.81
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2800.034$1.19−$8.76
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.017$0.55−$2.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-07 12:10Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2199999967$41.85
06-07 12:09Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.78$43.58
06-07 12:09Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.219999996$34.90
06-07 12:08Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL0.13$8.61
06-07 12:08NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1530295818$9.00
06-07 12:07Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.15$9.38
06-07 12:07Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?SELL0.059$8.94
06-07 12:06Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
06-02 09:43Will the Detroit Lions win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.04$20.00
06-02 09:43Will the Kansas City Chiefs win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.0659999941$10.00
06-02 09:42Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship?BUY0.16$10.00
06-02 05:47EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?BUY0.2057794481$10.00
06-02 05:46NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999871$10.00
06-02 05:46Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999736$3.00
06-01 20:06Will US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?BUY0.386902889$4.00