valmier
0x3e6efd062a33c3373af08a577dfb7571d97b99ea
- Realised P&L
- $-681.07
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 989
- Open portfolio
- $829.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded989
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$750.00at 0.390US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$685.50at 0.500Will Elana Meyers Taylor (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$541.12at 0.500Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$526.46at 0.001Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$393.94at 0.731Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:24 | Will Kansas use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | SELL | 0.037 | $0.37 |
| 09-18 08:24 | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.998 | $101.70 |
| 09-18 08:24 | Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.995 | $51.96 |
| 09-17 10:46 | Will Cheryl Reeve win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award? | SELL | 0.1838022814 | $19.34 |
| 09-14 20:17 | Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.959 | $65.29 |
| 09-14 20:17 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | SELL | 0.994 | $82.38 |
| 09-11 09:46 | Will Lamar Jackson win the 2026 NFL MVP? | SELL | 0.88 | $101.64 |
| 09-10 08:11 | Will Alibaba have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $223.53 |
| 09-04 04:04 | Will Alabama use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.8877419077 | $206.24 |
| 09-04 04:04 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.47 | $14.71 |
| 09-04 04:04 | Will the St. Louis Cardinals clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? | BUY | 0.9555173745 | $79.19 |
| 09-03 23:04 | Will Bayer Leverkusen win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | BUY | 0.14 | $21.99 |
| 09-02 07:55 | Will Oliver Marmol win the 2026 NL Manager of the Year? | SELL | 0.9959048734 | $182.90 |
| 08-28 14:15 | Will Minnesota Lynx win the 2026 WNBA Finals? | SELL | 0.45 | $45.75 |
| 07-25 23:49 | Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.936 | $10.30 |