valmier
0x3e6efd062a33c3373af08a577dfb7571d97b99ea
- Realised P&L
- $-524.88
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 979
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded979
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.3kat 0.027Will Elana Meyers Taylor (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Bobsled - Women's Monobob at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$1.1kat 0.027Will Mikaela Shiffrin (USA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Women's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
- +$750.00at 0.390US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
- +$694.56at 0.524Will 'Honey' be the least streamed song on The Life of a Showgirl on Oct 10th?
- +$526.46at 0.001Will Kim Moon-soo win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 23:49 | Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.936 | $10.30 |
| 07-22 14:34 | Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.014 | $0.45 |
| 07-20 18:41 | Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | SELL | 0.955 | $43.82 |
| 07-18 14:32 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.50 |
| 07-18 14:31 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | BUY | 0.3387605804 | $123.27 |
| 07-02 15:36 | Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $16.50 |
| 07-02 15:36 | Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.85 | $68.87 |
| 07-02 15:36 | Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title? | SELL | 0.91 | $18.20 |
| 07-02 15:36 | Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.85 | $77.43 |
| 07-02 15:34 | Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election? | SELL | 0.9 | $151.19 |
| 07-02 15:32 | Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? | SELL | 0.53 | $235.28 |
| 06-25 09:29 | Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election? | SELL | 0.95 | $21.33 |
| 06-25 08:13 | Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | SELL | 0.96 | $43.68 |
| 06-25 08:13 | Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election? | SELL | 0.848 | $34.28 |
| 06-25 08:07 | Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027? | SELL | 0.9806163092 | $83.22 |