PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

valmier

0x3e6efd062a33c3373af08a577dfb7571d97b99ea

Realised P&L
$-524.88
Volume
$1.28M
Markets traded
979
Open portfolio
$1.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded979
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 23:49Will Carnita Atwater win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.936$10.30
07-22 14:34Will Barack Obama announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.014$0.45
07-20 18:41Will Yoshinobu Yamamoto win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award?SELL0.955$43.82
07-18 14:32Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY0.35$17.50
07-18 14:31Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?BUY0.3387605804$123.27
07-02 15:36Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?SELL0.87$16.50
07-02 15:36Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 National League Championship Series?SELL0.85$68.87
07-02 15:36Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 AL Central title?SELL0.91$18.20
07-02 15:36Will Édouard Philippe be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?SELL0.85$77.43
07-02 15:34Will Bill Hill advance from the AK-AL primary election?SELL0.9$151.19
07-02 15:32Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?SELL0.53$235.28
06-25 09:29Will Ned Lamont win the 2026 Connecticut Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.95$21.33
06-25 08:13Will Sabrina Ionescu have the highest points per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season?SELL0.96$43.68
06-25 08:13Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?SELL0.848$34.28
06-25 08:07Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson announce a Presidential run before 2027?SELL0.9806163092$83.22