funky92
0x3e4e71a258154b5f086025df0d6984e26a77f8f7
- Realised P&L
- $-20.23
- Volume
- $439.37
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $85.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration58.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.765 | $29.42 | −$0.58 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? · No | 0.510 | 0.405 | $15.88 | −$4.12 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.545 | $10.90 | −$1.10 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.875 | $8.75 | +$0.45 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.835 | $8.35 | +$0.05 |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? · No | 0.460 | 0.350 | $7.00 | −$2.20 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.055 | $3.73 | −$6.26 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.082 | $1.63 | −$2.17 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$4.98 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.337 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$9.99 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.10at 0.187Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17?
- +$1.99at 0.522Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17?
- +$1.50at 0.850Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$0.90at 0.910Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 17?
- +$-0.39at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 18:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.46 | $5.98 |
| 09-17 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.1473746313 | $9.99 |
| 09-17 17:57 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18? | BUY | 0.5099999906 | $20.00 |
| 09-17 17:52 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.3265478548 | $4.95 |
| 09-17 12:53 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.6354540816 | $12.45 |
| 09-17 12:52 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? | SELL | 0.419128556 | $11.64 |
| 09-17 09:50 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.3299999815 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:49 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.1277842201 | $5.00 |
| 09-17 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $10.00 |
| 09-17 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.336633656 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 07:05 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7799999979 | $30.00 |
| 09-14 22:16 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |
| 09-14 22:15 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.90 |