PolyBot

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Traders

Xiaojiucai886

0x3e432e9b881c149afb5599e8e7a466db3280a50e

Realised P&L
$-263.09
Volume
$27.1k
Markets traded
224
Open portfolio
$191.53

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded224
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6240.783$37.65+$7.65
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by March 31, 2027? · Yes0.4600.335$36.41−$13.59
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3060.155$30.39−$29.61
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3010.190$18.95−$11.05
Will UNI reach $11.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3100.185$17.90−$12.10
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5400.295$16.39−$13.61
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2300.105$9.15−$10.85
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2550.105$8.24−$11.76
Will UNI reach $12.50 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.160$7.71−$2.29
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.1010.034$5.28−$10.72
Will UNI reach $14.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1460.085$2.91−$2.09
SBF released from custody in 2026? · Yes0.0560.015$0.55−$1.45
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in October? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 in October? · No0.5350.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 17:25Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October?SELL0.932$52.75
10-29 17:22Another Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.23$60.52
10-23 13:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?BUY0.6999999977$30.00
10-23 13:47Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.2936282637$10.00
10-20 15:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?SELL0.68$17.00
10-20 15:30Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?SELL0.7237089672$36.16
10-20 11:46Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.1735692586$10.00
10-20 11:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.4559059608$10.00
10-20 11:45Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?BUY0.4$10.00
10-16 17:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October?BUY0.7133939718$20.00
10-16 17:07Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.3399999966$10.00
10-16 16:03Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2699999966$20.00
10-16 16:02Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October?SELL0.07$11.81
10-16 14:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.524752469$10.00
10-16 14:29Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October?BUY0.5064547923$10.00