Xiaojiucai886
0x3e432e9b881c149afb5599e8e7a466db3280a50e
- Realised P&L
- $-263.09
- Volume
- $27.1k
- Markets traded
- 224
- Open portfolio
- $191.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded224
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$297.19at 0.187Will Solana reach $110 in August?
- +$195.74at 0.631Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$65.79at 0.890Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
- +$58.76at 0.453Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026?
- +$49.28at 0.680Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 17:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $77,500 in October? | SELL | 0.932 | $52.75 |
| 10-29 17:22 | Another Fed rate hike in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $60.52 |
| 10-23 13:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? | BUY | 0.6999999977 | $30.00 |
| 10-23 13:47 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.2936282637 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | SELL | 0.68 | $17.00 |
| 10-20 15:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | SELL | 0.7237089672 | $36.16 |
| 10-20 11:46 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.1735692586 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 11:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.4559059608 | $10.00 |
| 10-20 11:45 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 17:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in October? | BUY | 0.7133939718 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 17:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 16:03 | Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999966 | $20.00 |
| 10-16 16:02 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in October? | SELL | 0.07 | $11.81 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.524752469 | $10.00 |
| 10-16 14:29 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in October? | BUY | 0.5064547923 | $10.00 |