PolyBot

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Traders

Xiaojiucai886

0x3e432e9b881c149afb5599e8e7a466db3280a50e

Realised P&L
$-410.62
Volume
$23.3k
Markets traded
202
Open portfolio
$615.79

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded202
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6150.605$147.56$2.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in September? · No0.5300.625$58.96+$8.96
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4520.395$52.47$7.53
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.265$44.17$5.83
Another Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.1900.165$43.42$6.58
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September? · Yes0.4070.210$36.15$33.85
Will UNI reach $8.00 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4380.920$29.70+$15.57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.5300.495$28.02$1.98
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September? · Yes0.5610.443$23.65$6.35
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.585$21.67+$1.67
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6900.745$21.59+$1.59
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3270.345$21.10+$1.10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September? · Yes0.2040.080$17.64$27.36
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September? · Yes0.5770.835$14.48+$4.48
Will Solana reach $110 in September? · Yes0.4500.370$8.22$1.78

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:10Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.5299999961$30.00
09-17 17:09Another Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.1899999998$50.00
09-16 20:18Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999936$20.00
09-16 20:17Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3344415724$10.00
09-16 20:16Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5799999768$10.00
09-16 13:47Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.1199999904$1.00
09-16 13:47Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5699999886$10.00
09-16 13:47Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.6899999821$20.00
09-16 13:46Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.539999986$20.00
09-16 13:46Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$10.00
09-15 19:04Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in September?BUY0.5765751138$10.00
09-15 19:03Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.119999999$10.00
09-12 10:43Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
09-12 10:43Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4482071695$50.00
09-12 10:41Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.599999988$10.00