PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3E411327840f9335DfdEbbF0ce290B28696ffb83-1768905617511

0x3e411327840f9335dfdebbf0ce290b28696ffb83

Realised P&L
$-77.86
Volume
$20.4k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$42.45

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET · Up0.3831.000$21.46+$13.23
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to less than 20 years in prison? · Yes0.0500.096$9.55+$4.55
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0800.115$7.19+$2.19
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.1200.041$1.69$3.31
Will anyone be charged over Epstein disclosures? · Yes0.4400.095$1.08$3.92
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting? · Yes0.9301.000$1.08+$0.08
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1300.011$0.40$4.60
Will Trump deport less than 250,000? · Yes0.0520.000$0.00$5.00
Will Kemi Badenoch be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$5.00
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 9-15? · Yes0.1510.000$0.00$5.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00$1.00
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$5.00
Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? · Up0.0230.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-30 13:01Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETBUY0.2299999692$4.87
02-23 14:17Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY0.922999999$9.66
02-23 14:16Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
02-23 13:22Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETBUY0.5399999654$4.85
02-23 13:17Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETBUY0.1699999759$4.95
02-23 13:16S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23?BUY0.0230889293$5.00
02-23 13:15Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend?BUY0.007$5.00
02-23 13:13Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETBUY0.0346404323$5.00
02-22 01:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.25$9.82
02-22 01:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.2803042568$9.80
02-22 01:48Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.2899999846$9.79
02-22 01:46Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETBUY0.3007588911$10.50
02-22 01:41Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ETBUY0.8199999836$0.99
02-22 01:18Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ETBUY0.1057692219$9.96
02-22 01:11Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ETBUY0.001$10.00