0x3E411327840f9335DfdEbbF0ce290B28696ffb83-1768905617511
0x3e411327840f9335dfdebbf0ce290b28696ffb83
- Realised P&L
- $-77.86
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $42.45
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.06at 0.421Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
- +$19.00at 0.050Government shutdown on Saturday?
- +$15.83at 0.240Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.81at 0.923Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
- +$0.80at 0.668Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-30 13:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $4.87 |
| 02-23 14:17 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BUY | 0.922999999 | $9.66 |
| 02-23 14:16 | Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 13:22 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | BUY | 0.5399999654 | $4.85 |
| 02-23 13:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $4.95 |
| 02-23 13:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 23? | BUY | 0.0230889293 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 13:15 | Will there be 8–10 inches of snow in NYC this weekend? | BUY | 0.007 | $5.00 |
| 02-23 13:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET | BUY | 0.0346404323 | $5.00 |
| 02-22 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $9.82 |
| 02-22 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2803042568 | $9.80 |
| 02-22 01:48 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $9.79 |
| 02-22 01:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET | BUY | 0.3007588911 | $10.50 |
| 02-22 01:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $0.99 |
| 02-22 01:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET | BUY | 0.1057692219 | $9.96 |
| 02-22 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET | BUY | 0.001 | $10.00 |