Liquidpapercut
0x3e404c6a250584b14f3c0595d411fb734987224e
- Realised P&L
- $-11.9k
- Volume
- $712.2k
- Markets traded
- 3,194
- Open portfolio
- $11.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,194
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$925.98at 0.846Will Player 167 win Beast Games: Season 2?
- +$526.80at 0.492LoL: Anyone's Legend vs JD Gaming (BO3)
- +$266.97at 0.745Texans vs. Patriots
- +$227.79at 0.196Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$211.10at 0.272Will Player 191 finish in second place on Beast Games: Season 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099997255 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 17:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.73 |
| 10-04 13:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.930069921 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 13:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 13:25 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.0699999965 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 11:28 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.7299997409 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 02:11 | Bruins vs. Wild | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 01:30 | Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.98 | $3.54 |
| 10-04 01:29 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.26 |
| 10-04 00:32 | Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.8299999613 | $3.00 |
| 10-04 00:28 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.44 |
| 10-03 23:31 | Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1399999963 | $3.00 |
| 10-03 23:10 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.9299998419 | $5.00 |
| 10-03 23:09 | Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |