PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Liquidpapercut

0x3e404c6a250584b14f3c0595d411fb734987224e

Realised P&L
$-11.9k
Volume
$712.2k
Markets traded
3,194
Open portfolio
$11.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,194
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.9300.842$4.52−$0.48
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4440.325$2.92−$1.07
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1400.135$2.89−$0.11
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? · Yes0.0700.095$1.36+$0.36
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0090.001$0.06−$0.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.6380.000$0.00−$20.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET · Up0.5180.000$0.00−$20.00
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET · Up0.5280.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.4130.000$0.00−$5.00
Portugal vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score · No0.5800.000$0.00−$3.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET · Up0.5100.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET · Down0.5270.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bernie Sanders say "Trump" 15+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally? · No0.6190.000$0.00−$11.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up0.5590.000$0.00−$6.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET · Down0.2120.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-04 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6099997255$1.00
10-04 17:55Bitcoin Up or Down - October 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY0.6099998597$1.00
10-04 15:12Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?SELL0.999$2.73
10-04 13:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jon Ossoff by October 31, 2026?BUY0.930069921$5.00
10-04 13:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult Ken Paxton by October 31, 2026?BUY0.5$2.00
10-04 13:25Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?BUY0.0699999965$1.00
10-04 11:28Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on October 4?BUY0.7299997409$2.00
10-04 02:11Bruins vs. WildBUY0.8299999967$5.00
10-04 01:30Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.98$3.54
10-04 01:29Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.98$5.26
10-04 00:32Will Trump say "Congo" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.8299999613$3.00
10-04 00:28Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?SELL0.999$3.44
10-03 23:31Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1399999963$3.00
10-03 23:10Will Trump say "Six Seven" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.9299998419$5.00
10-03 23:09Will Trump say "SI" or "Super Intelligence" during his Midterm Rally in Ohio?BUY0.2899999884$1.00