yomayo
0x3e354ff18bb29f74d734bc4b04c947f578e94956
- Realised P&L
- $-23.7k
- Volume
- $1.67M
- Markets traded
- 110
- Open portfolio
- $49.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded110
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $38.4k | +$203.23 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2028? · No | 0.750 | 0.765 | $3.8k | +$75.00 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? · No | 0.890 | 0.885 | $3.5k | −$20.00 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30, 2027? · No | 0.830 | 0.845 | $2.3k | +$40.14 |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.905 | $1.8k | +$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.9kat 0.934Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$2.2kat 0.955Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- +$1.8kat 0.984Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.967Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.944Hyperliquid all time high by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 18:52 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $18.8k |
| 10-04 19:26 | Iran leadership change by December 31? | BUY | 0.89 | $1.8k |
| 10-03 07:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999999 | $10.0k |
| 10-02 14:22 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $9.4k |
| 06-20 09:32 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $7.7k |
| 06-20 09:31 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $59.64 |
| 06-11 06:56 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $120.09 |
| 06-03 14:07 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | SELL | 0.975 | $1.1k |
| 06-02 11:11 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.988 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 14:09 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.829999999 | $112.00 |
| 05-14 19:34 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.949 | $354.03 |
| 05-08 18:47 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $2.3k |
| 05-06 17:16 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $460.00 |
| 05-06 17:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $552.00 |
| 04-30 14:55 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9289845012 | $2.0k |