abeckersc
0x3e12059124556b159fd5d3ddef08f2ed5fff2a06
- Realised P&L
- $12.78
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $40.13
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.800 | 1.000 | $37.50 | +$7.50 |
| U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Brazil" before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.079 | $1.96 | −$3.04 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.046 | $0.55 | −$0.45 |
| Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.015 | $0.10 | −$0.90 |
| Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.005 | $0.02 | −$0.98 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.159 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.09at 0.110Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner
- +$6.06at 0.890No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?
- +$5.76at 0.330Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$1.98at 0.897US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
- +$1.92at 0.137Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-17 13:16 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.62 | $2.81 |
| 04-16 15:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | BUY | 0.2199998548 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 15:13 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.0849999286 | $1.00 |
| 04-16 15:12 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 04-16 15:09 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | SELL | 0.52 | $15.76 |
| 04-04 14:02 | Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 04-03 20:06 | Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.19 | $6.92 |
| 03-17 18:44 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.032 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 22:43 | Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 03-14 13:58 | Will Morocco win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1373033394 | $5.00 |
| 03-14 13:55 | Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8 | $30.00 |
| 03-12 23:51 | Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? | SELL | 0.093 | $1.15 |
| 03-10 16:44 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.91 |
| 03-10 01:14 | Will Microsoft acquire TikTok? | BUY | 0.0810000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-10 01:12 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |