TT2025
0x3de77cf765dcd8355043effadfc00a92af56b4a8
- Realised P&L
- $67.45
- Volume
- $29.2k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $25.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample29 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)65.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.129 | 0.234 | $9.11 | +$4.11 |
| Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.075 | 0.042 | $8.72 | −$6.79 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.253 | 0.192 | $7.57 | −$2.43 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.155 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$117.55at 0.662Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
- +$84.50at 0.150Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
- +$75.38at 0.849Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$48.37at 0.930Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
- +$36.36at 0.737Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 02:49 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | SELL | 0.9868004324 | $209.95 |
| 07-31 02:49 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.85 | $321.12 |
| 06-30 01:55 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 21:22 | Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 06-29 21:22 | Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Morocco? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 05-31 21:22 | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.2529999856 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 18:23 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.78 | $13.15 |
| 05-04 05:42 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 05-04 05:25 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.7204471808 | $111.16 |
| 05-04 05:25 | Canada recession before 2027? | SELL | 0.8054151839 | $13.58 |
| 05-04 05:23 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | SELL | 0.7296162944 | $404.07 |
| 04-09 03:44 | Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | BUY | 0.7367109538 | $800.00 |
| 04-09 03:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1287128517 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 03:34 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.0568975743 | $5.00 |
| 04-09 03:32 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | SELL | 0.052 | $31.14 |