PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3DDbbf4583497EB6F07EE198F7f23Bf4F8ab4eeE-1764794152206

0x3ddbbf4583497eb6f07ee198f7f23bf4f8ab4eee

Realised P&L
$-82.65
Volume
$87.3k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$81.70

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration74.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September? · Yes0.5000.315$60.47$35.51
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September? · Yes0.8180.128$15.24$82.51
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · Yes0.1300.065$6.00$6.00
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.1070.000$0.00$72.99
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$64.76
Will France win on 2026-07-14? · Yes0.0250.000$0.00$8.54
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in January? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.94
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$35.95
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$39.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-22 10:24Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in September?BUY0.5$95.98
09-22 06:39Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?SELL0.94$72.57
09-21 20:43Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in September?BUY0.7272894979$56.16
09-20 19:26Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in September?BUY0.8179999989$97.75
09-08 13:55Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?SELL0.6754064187$135.11
09-03 17:02Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?BUY0.479999999$96.02
07-19 22:25Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?BUY0.129999991$12.00
07-19 21:19Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.693$13.08
07-19 19:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5959999864$11.25
07-14 20:36Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.025$8.54
07-07 21:52Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.05$9.68
07-07 21:51Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?BUY0.0599999944$9.67
07-07 18:01Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?SELL0.954$77.75
07-07 17:51Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?SELL0.65$48.44
07-07 17:42Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?BUY0.1299999893$9.69