PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

zxcvasdf1

0x3dd31a2e661f2f7de8c7396c3cff91373540174c

Realised P&L
$-38.90
Volume
$3.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$429.84

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration78.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Ramp IPO before 2027? · No0.7800.976$187.82+$37.72
Databricks IPO before 2027? · No0.4790.969$106.59+$53.89
Vanta IPO before 2027? · No0.8300.978$45.94+$6.93
Celonis IPO before 2027? · No0.7400.945$18.90+$4.10
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.2600.945$15.12+$10.96
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.5741.000$12.13+$5.17
Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad? · No0.8001.000$12.00+$2.40
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1600.115$7.59−$2.97
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.605$6.74+$3.95
Will Mallorca be relegated from La Liga after the 2025–26 season? · Yes0.9481.000$4.18+$0.22
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.8800.983$2.95+$0.31
US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026? · Yes0.3010.085$2.37−$6.03
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 31? · Yes0.9591.000$2.00+$0.08
Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next? · Yes0.8701.000$2.00+$0.26
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.161$1.93−$2.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-02 02:34Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on February 2?BUY0.5399999881$20.00
02-01 01:19Will Merab Dvalishvili fight Petr Yan next?BUY0.87$1.74
02-01 01:07Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.05$1.00
01-31 22:14Databricks IPO before 2027?BUY0.4790909091$52.70
01-31 22:12Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?BUY0.8$1.60
01-31 18:31Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?BUY0.5738166123$6.96
01-31 18:27Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 31?BUY0.9589999965$1.92
01-31 18:10Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 31?BUY0.14375$2.30
01-31 18:08Will any World Cup game scheduled in the U.S. be relocated abroad?BUY0.8$8.00
01-31 18:02Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on January 31?BUY0.2599999683$5.41
01-31 17:58Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.26$4.16
01-31 17:51US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?BUY0.300693417$8.40
01-31 17:16Ramp IPO before 2027?BUY0.7799999995$150.10
01-31 17:16Vanta IPO before 2027?BUY0.83$39.01
01-31 17:16Mistral AI IPO before 2027?BUY0.88$2.64