rlndDischain
0x3dc8fcc54d3c6d961fc619e390eb45c5aa66ffe1
- Realised P&L
- $-28.41
- Volume
- $1.3k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $54.85
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration84.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.71at 0.329Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$5.13at 0.710Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 07:10 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4142318035 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 06:47 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 06:40 | Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad? | BUY | 0.4799999616 | $4.00 |
| 10-06 06:38 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October? | BUY | 0.149999997 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 06:34 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999927 | $23.00 |
| 10-06 06:33 | Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:46 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3979999705 | $1.00 |
| 09-21 14:43 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $6.00 |
| 09-21 14:42 | Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | BUY | 0.0599999995 | $5.00 |
| 09-21 14:39 | Will Democrats win exactly 6 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1299999948 | $3.00 |
| 09-21 14:38 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by at least 15%? | BUY | 0.0114592385 | $2.00 |
| 09-21 14:36 | Will United Russia win between 340 and 354 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? | BUY | 0.067402647 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 14:34 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.32 | $15.00 |
| 09-21 14:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.3 | $49.17 |
| 09-19 09:30 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.3 | $49.17 |