Poyo
0x3d8a89a20aa73fba0f30d080e8120de9f9555724
- Realised P&L
- $97.3k
- Volume
- $270.8k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $1.5k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar35.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.24Mat 0.000Will Donald Trump be inaugurated for his second term as President of the USA on Inauguration Day, January 20th, 2021?
- +$2.59Mat 0.001Will Joe Biden be inaugurated as President of the USA on January 20th, 2021?
- +$928.1kat 0.009Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on March 1, 2021?
- +$795.6kat 0.039Will Trump win any of Pennsylvania, Arizona or Georgia?
- +$312.2kat 0.000Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:41 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.36 | $119.52 |
| 09-03 16:49 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.499 | $332.42 |
| 08-21 11:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.7249579092 | $195.85 |
| 08-21 11:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.68 | $22.44 |
| 07-09 12:43 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:43 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.986 | $49.30 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.976 | $0.78 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.875 | $26.24 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 07-09 12:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.926 | $83.34 |