Poyo
0x3d8a89a20aa73fba0f30d080e8120de9f9555724
- Realised P&L
- $-41.2k
- Volume
- $270.8k
- Markets traded
- 131
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded131
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$312.2kat 0.000Will Donald Trump be President of the USA on March 31, 2021?
- +$145.2kat 0.173Will Trump complete his first term?
- +$96.2kat 0.021Which party will win Arizona in the 2020 Presidential Election?
- +$96.0kat 0.067Will Trump win the 2020 U.S. presidential election?
- +$73.2kat 0.002Will Joe Biden be President of the USA on April 30, 2021?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 09:41 | Will the Republicans win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.36 | $119.52 |
| 09-03 16:49 | Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.499 | $332.42 |
| 08-21 11:41 | Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.7249579092 | $195.85 |
| 08-21 11:27 | Will Kamala Harris win the South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary? | BUY | 0.68 | $22.44 |
| 07-09 12:43 | Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:43 | Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.992 | $49.60 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 07-09 12:42 | Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.986 | $49.30 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.976 | $0.78 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.875 | $26.24 |
| 07-09 12:41 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 07-09 12:40 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.926 | $83.34 |