PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x3d7d1085e81791E4bEEa8A90BB9bED5938C9CBE3-1772315066845

0x3d7d1085e81791e4beea8a90bb9bed5938c9cbe3

Realised P&L
$-187.82
Volume
$77.2k
Markets traded
57
Open portfolio
$43.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded57
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration59.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No0.0480.177$25.98+$18.98
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · No0.5580.315$16.94$13.06
Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0590.006$0.67$5.33
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? · No0.4190.000$0.00$35.00
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026? · No0.0030.000$0.00$149.98
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? · Yes0.3730.000$0.00$30.00
Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$7.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? · No0.1060.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 07:34Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?SELL0.825$84.22
06-21 20:39Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.94$37.83
06-14 19:38Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?BUY0.7393331171$30.00
06-14 19:26Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.0478190327$7.00
06-14 19:21US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?SELL0.41$22.78
06-07 21:14Iran closes its airspace by June 8?BUY0.1059999912$10.00
06-07 21:05US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?BUY0.179999987$10.00
06-01 20:42Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.82$33.00
05-25 16:37Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.18$7.71
05-25 16:37Israel closes its airspace by May 31?SELL0.94$34.39
05-23 21:56Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.81$18.40
05-20 23:15Will the US strike 13 countries in 2026?BUY0.0586132183$6.00
05-13 10:51US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?BUY0.4186352491$35.00
05-11 18:38US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.8$50.00
05-09 22:14Will Donald Trump not visit China by May 31, 2026?BUY0.0473645642$7.00